Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 76.299341 85.684747 95.268823 105.756243 116.878525 128.293543 140.865572
2025-08-10 62.187499 75.760436 90.229422 106.672370 124.717675 143.806872 165.417479
2025-08-17 52.592587 68.326022 85.659983 105.908421 128.665086 153.229760 181.537005
2025-08-24 45.823467 63.116111 82.732918 106.190949 133.075298 162.567495 197.025649
2025-08-31 39.602058 57.830278 79.107034 105.116396 135.460923 169.229915 209.162570
2025-09-07 35.671463 54.871937 77.847252 106.457791 140.327789 178.455846 223.972377
2025-09-14 32.494069 52.526726 77.060835 108.129513 145.388047 187.752081 238.737918
2025-09-21 28.575888 48.880011 74.399111 107.307220 147.314930 193.280117 249.062785
2025-09-28 24.536077 44.713059 70.800914 105.094587 147.379456 196.475620 256.556507
2025-10-05 23.472236 44.509377 72.187543 108.992113 154.750385 208.204308 273.930504
2025-10-12 21.924838 43.484689 72.404975 111.344134 160.187242 217.614135 288.579665
2025-10-19 19.451499 40.911398 70.420073 110.774746 161.946223 222.582388 297.964817
2025-10-26 17.046537 38.258603 68.217689 109.861790 163.260651 227.038644 306.805425
2025-11-02 15.372994 36.583880 67.255568 110.488687 166.446470 233.720164 318.275515
2025-11-09 13.455601 34.328367 65.346353 109.758714 167.840492 238.168927 327.037264
2025-11-16 12.015726 32.716382 64.253172 110.039101 170.457688 244.066202 337.503232
2025-11-23 10.355562 30.539267 62.213868 108.943548 171.240129 247.661516 345.161480
2025-11-30 9.463255 29.643419 62.010538 110.312544 175.168994 255.113018 357.464373
2025-12-07 8.724763 28.956175 62.074558 112.018746 179.516116 263.073330 370.384014
2025-12-14 7.498878 27.172802 60.364461 111.179532 180.486864 266.802861 378.138353
2025-12-21 6.127743 24.878164 57.721330 108.921109 179.511556 268.043430 382.809815
2025-12-28 6.038746 25.319922 59.443684 112.899026 186.810582 279.678480 400.223322
2026-01-04 5.673035 25.102391 60.077291 115.298969 192.005027 288.668531 414.402265